2021年読売巨人軍開幕スタメン考察

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やっほーおはあんず~

先日に引き続き、今日も現時点での開幕陣容を考察していきたいと思います。

第3回の今回は、開幕スタメン編です。

 

まず今年の開幕スタメンで最大の焦点になると思われるのは、「テームズ、スモークが名を連ねるのか?」というところです。

例年だと、キャンプやオープン戦でよほどの不調や弱点を露呈しない限りは、とりあえずスタメン、最低限ベンチには入ってくるところですが、今年はそもそもキャンプに参加できない可能性が高いという点から始まります。

現状だと、2人の来日予定は早くても2月中旬で、隔離期間を考えるとチーム合流は最速2月末。そこそこベテラン2人が、キャンプ調整をスルーしてオープン戦に1ヶ月出て早速フルシーズンということがあるのかが問題です。

ということでより現実的なのは、来日してどのみち2週間休まないといけないので、まずはミニキャンプ的なことをファームで数週間。そこから引き続きファームの試合に出しつつ、打ってる方から順番に引き上げるという方法です。

そしてこの場合は、ファースト、レフトが開幕時点では空位になることになり、チャンスが少ないと思われていた選手たちにも一気に希望が出てきます。



そこの選定の前に、まずはレギュラー実質確定組。

キャッチャーは一旦置いておいて、セカンド吉川尚輝、サード岡本和真、ショート坂本勇人、センター丸佳浩、ライト梶谷隆幸は、よほどのことがなければスタメンで内定。

特にセカンドは毎年一応「競争」の体を成して始まり、最終的に吉川尚輝が開幕スタメンという流れだったんですが、今年はオフにセカンド候補を複数流出しつつも補強は行わず、自身も最年少でS班に選ばれています。要はそういうことでしょう。

あとも現実的に違う選手を当てはめる方が大変だと思います。

 

そして残ったファーストとレフトでは、レフトの方が争いは熾烈。

両方できる選手もいますが、亀井善行、陽岱鋼、重信慎之介、松原聖弥の本職外野陣に加え、ウィーラーや若林晃弘も候補に挙がります。

球団としては重信や松原が獲ってくれた方が収まりはいいんでしょうが、5年契約最終年で毎年春先好調の陽岱鋼が、今年は黙っていないはずです。

そしてファーストでは、中島宏之とウィーラーを筆頭に、若林と北村拓己にチャンスあり。本来ならウレーニャが出てきてもおかしくありませんが、あいにくスモーク、テームズと同じ境遇なので、2人が厳しいならウレーニャも厳しいと思われます。

この中だと、北村が去年で何かを掴んでいてくれたら嬉しい。

そこそこ打ったようでそんなに打っていない昨シーズンでしたが、去年はファーストのレギュラー候補で名前が真っ先に挙がっていたくらいなので、「打撃の人」として今年に懸かる期待は大きくなります。



これらを踏まえてオーダーを考えると、当初理想とされていた梶谷、坂本、丸、岡本……という1~4番がどこまで可能なのかが疑問になります。

大前提としてスモークやテームズが5番6番でそれ相応の脅威になることが前提だったんですが、それがないと5番が大城かファーストの誰かになってしまい、半端な成績だと結局岡本とまともに勝負されません。

となるとやはり1番に吉川尚輝を持ってきた方が、梶谷か丸を5番に回せるので、打線としての厚みは増します。この場合は、梶谷を3番に置いて勝負強さやチャンスメイクをしてもらうことが理想です。

 

そしてこれが組めてしまえば、あとの下位打線は誰をどう並べてもそれっぽくなります。

大城がスタメンならば6番7番に置けるので、足の速い選手を8番に起用するのも有力な一手になり、逆に小林や銀仁朗がスタメンの日は、ナカジとウィーラーを並べてより厚みを作っていくこともできます。

去年の実績があるので、新外国人の2人がいなくても、しばらくはこんな感じで簡単に回ります。

上手くいかなくなったときの最後の切り札として、満を持して両外国人を呼び込めるような体制を作れれば、打線で苦労することもないでしょう。

じゃあね~また明日~

おつあんず~




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