2021年読売巨人軍開幕ローテ考察

最終更新日

Comments: 35

→初めての方はこちら

→【ブログ終了のお知らせ】はこちら



やっほーおはあんず~

間もなくキャンプインが迫ろうかというこの時期に、一度今シーズンの開幕陣容を考察していきたいと思います。

初回の今回は、開幕ローテ編です。

 

今年の巨人は開幕戦を東京ドームで横浜を迎え、以降中日→ヤクルト→阪神→広島……の順で日程が進みます。また、今年の特徴として、3月半ばに開幕してから毎週6連戦がびっちり2ヶ月続きます。毎年4月恒例の地方開催がない分、6枚きっちりローテーションを揃える必要があると言えるでしょう。

ということで早速候補を挙げていくと、菅野智之、サンチェス、戸郷翔征、畠世周、今村信貴、井納翔一……と一瞬で指が折れました。ここに田口麗斗、高橋優貴、メルセデスといった左腕や、ルーキーの平内龍太らが加わって争いを形成するので、少なくとも頭数が足りずに困る心配はなさそうです。また、こうみると私の感覚だと、意外と戸郷がそこまで安泰ではないように思えます。

これらの候補を踏まえて、順番も考えていきます。

 

まず開幕投手が菅野で内定している(と思われる)週末カードは、個人的には菅野→今村→畠で回したいところ。

頭の金曜日は菅野で相手エースを迎え撃ち、土曜日に左腕の今村で変化。日曜日に強い印象の畠で、疲労MAXの相手野手をねじ伏せるプランです。

今村と畠は1年通して1軍ローテで回った実績がないのが懸念点ですが、入れ替えはしやすい曜日なので、状態を見極めながら運用していくことになります。

また、平内をローテに入れるのであれば、日曜日に持ってきたいところだと思います。



そして火曜日からの平日カードが悩ましいところで、ここで喧嘩しないように上手くバランスをとりたいです。

現状ローテ濃厚で決定的なのがサンチェスと戸郷で、ここに井納を加えて終わりになってしまうんですが、この3人はざっくりのタイプが同じなので、どこかに左を起用したい思惑があります。

まず大前提として「井納ってどんな投手なの?」というのがあって、井納はここ数年基本5回か6回で降板。いいときと悪いときは、比較的はっきりしている印象です。

そうなってくると、井納を使うのであれば、火曜日は避けたいところ。(相手先発が6番手の可能性が高い)木曜日を確実に拾うのであればここにサンチェスか戸郷を持ってこれるのが強いチームだと思います。

となると一番現実的で期待値が高まるのは、サンチェス→だれか→戸郷の順番。戸郷は去年木曜日に2戦2勝防御率0.00とめっぽう強く、サンチェスはエースとの投げ合いでも勝ちきる力がある。成績的には逆でもいいんですが、今年はできるだけ戸郷に勝ち星を集めるシーズンにしてみたい思いもあります。

 

これで結局残り1枠を、井納を中心にみんなで争うというのが、私の中での現時点の想定になります。どんなに考えても、今村と畠を入れないローテーションに夢を感じない以上、争える枠がそこしかなく、状況次第で戸郷もそこまで安泰ではないという結論になっています。

いずれにせよ例年以上に高いレベルでのローテーション争いになると思うので、そこを勝ち抜いた投手によって編成できれば、先発で困るシーズンにはならないと思います。

じゃあね~また明日~

おつあんず~




にほんブログ村

↑↑↑クリックで応援お願いします!

35件のフィードバック

  1. What i don’t realize is actually how you are no longer really
    a lot more well-favored than you might be now. You are very intelligent.
    You already know therefore considerably when it comes to this topic, produced me for my part
    believe it from numerous numerous angles. Its like men and women are not interested except it’s
    something to accomplish with Girl gaga! Your personal stuffs great.
    At all times handle it up! 0mniartist asmr

  2. Usually I don’t learn post on blogs, however I wish to say
    that this write-up very compelled me to check out and do it!

    Your writing taste has been amazed me. Thank you, very great article.
    0mniartist asmr

  3. It is not my first time to visit this web site, i am visiting this website dailly
    and obtain fastidious facts from here every
    day. asmr 0mniartist

  4. Hey there! This is my first visit to your blog! We are a team of volunteers and starting
    a new project in a community in the same niche.
    Your blog provided us valuable information to work on. You have done a marvellous job!

  5. Hello! Someone in my Facebook group shared this site with us so I
    came to give it a look. I’m definitely enjoying the information.
    I’m book-marking and will be tweeting this to my followers!
    Excellent blog and great design.

  6. Somebody necessarily assist to make significantly articles I would state.
    That is the very first time I frequented your web page and so far?
    I surprised with the research you made to create this actual post incredible.
    Wonderful process!

  7. Hello there! I could have sworn I’ve been to this website
    before but after reading through some of the post
    I realized it’s new to me. Anyhow, I’m definitely glad I
    found it and I’ll be bookmarking and checking back frequently!

  8. Its such as you learn my thoughts! You seem to know
    a lot about this, like you wrote the e-book in it or something.

    I believe that you just can do with a few p.c. to pressure the
    message house a bit, however instead of that, that is excellent blog.
    A fantastic read. I will definitely be back.

  9. Thanks for the marvelous posting! I certainly enjoyed reading it, you are
    a great author.I will remember to bookmark your blog and definitely will come
    back from now on. I want to encourage that you continue your great posts, have a nice weekend!

  10. scoliosis
    Heya just wanted to give you a quick heads up
    and let you know a few of the images aren’t loading properly.
    I’m not sure why but I think its a linking issue.
    I’ve tried it in two different browsers and both show the same outcome.
    scoliosis

  11. scoliosis
    Hmm is anyone else having problems with the images on this blog loading?
    I’m trying to figure out if its a problem on my end or if it’s the blog.
    Any feedback would be greatly appreciated. scoliosis

  12. scoliosis
    I know this website offers quality dependent articles
    or reviews and other stuff, is there any other web page
    which offers these kinds of things in quality?

    scoliosis

  13. Hey just wanted to give you a brief heads up and let you know
    a few of the pictures aren’t loading properly. I’m not sure why but I think
    its a linking issue. I’ve tried it in two different internet browsers and both show the same results.

  14. Today, I went to the beach front with my children. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4 year old daughter
    and said “You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.” She placed the shell to
    her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear.
    She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is completely
    off topic but I had to tell someone!

  15. I was recommended this web site by my cousin. I’m not sure
    whether this post is written by him as no one else know such detailed about my difficulty.
    You’re wonderful! Thanks!

  16. Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as
    though you relied on the video to make your point.
    You clearly know what youre talking about, why waste your intelligence
    on just posting videos to your weblog when you could be giving us something enlightening to read?

  17. I must thank you for the efforts you have put in writing this site.
    I’m hoping to view the same high-grade blog posts by you in the future as
    well. In truth, your creative writing abilities has
    encouraged me to get my own, personal website now 😉

  18. Wow, fantastic weblog structure! How long have you
    been running a blog for? you made running a blog glance easy.
    The full look of your site is wonderful, let alone the content!

  19. When some one searches for his vital thing, therefore he/she needs to be available that in detail, thus that thing
    is maintained over here.

  20. I was excited to discover this page. I want to to thank you for ones
    time just for this fantastic read!! I definitely really liked every
    little bit of it and I have you bookmarked to look at new things in your site.

  21. We are a group of volunteers and opening a brand new scheme in our community.
    Your site provided us with helpful info to work on. You’ve performed a formidable task and our whole neighborhood might
    be thankful to you.

  22. Just desire to say your article is as amazing. The clarity in your post is simply cool and i could assume you’re an expert on this
    subject. Well with your permission let me to grab your RSS feed to keep updated
    with forthcoming post. Thanks a million and please carry on the gratifying
    work.

  23. Hi, I do believe this is an excellent site. I stumbledupon it 😉 I am going
    to revisit yet again since I book marked it.

    Money and freedom is the greatest way to change, may you be rich and continue to help other people.

  24. I love what you guys tend to be up too. This type of clever work and reporting!
    Keep up the very good works guys I’ve incorporated
    you guys to my own blogroll.

コメントを残す

メールアドレスが公開されることはありません。

コメントする